Carlton v Fremantle
Docklands
6.10
46
15.13
103
Match complete
Fremantle won by 57 points
IN
Graham
Casboult
Cuningham
O'Shea
OUT
IN
Sandilands
Hill
Fyfe
Walters
Pearce
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 54.5 | 0.08 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 45.3 | 0.32 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.30 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.11 |
| Punters | |
54% | ✓ | 0.11 | ||
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.