Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval
20.12
132
11.9
75
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 57 points
IN
Marshall
Hombsch
Thomas
Watts
Jonas
Neade
OUT
IN
Webb
Biggs
Wallis
Cordy
Suckling
Roughead
Dickson
Morris
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 80% | 32 points | ✓ | 24.7 | 0.68 | |
92% | 44 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.88 | ||
Punters | 87% | ✓ | 0.80 | |||
85% | 33 points | ✓ | 24.3 | 0.76 | ||
84% | 35 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.75 | ||
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.72 | ||
82% | 37 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 36 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.69 | ||
77% | 38 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.62 | ||
74% | 35 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.56 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.50 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.