Brisbane Lions v Geelong
Gabba
4.13
37
9.9
63
Geelong won by 26 points
IN
Lyons
Bailey
OUT
IN
Conway
Kolodjashnij
Duncan
Hawkins
Dangerfield
Atkins
Stanley
Tuohy
Neale
O'Sullivan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.33 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 47.2 | -0.98 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 40.8 | -0.59 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.43 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 17 points | ✗ | 42.7 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 40.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.