Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2024-04-20 13:45:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

17.21

123

12.9

81

Collingwood won by 42 points

IN

Cox

Hoskin-Elliott

OUT

IN

Sweet

McEntee

Dixon

Powell-Pepper

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		55%	4 points	✓	37.7	0.13
Aggregate		54%	4 points	✓	37.6	0.12
		63%	14 points	✓	28.0	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	30.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	32.8	0.29
		61%	8 points	✓	33.6	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	32.4	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	33.3	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	32.0	0.26
		59%	11 points	✓	31.0	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	35.7	0.22
		57%	7 points	✓	35.0	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	33.0	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	36.0	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	36.0	0.16
Punters		55%	11 points	✓	30.6	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	38.0	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	39.1	0.12
		52%	1 point	✓	41.3	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	40.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	40.4	0.05
		52%	1 point	✓	40.8	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	40.9	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	41.2	0.02
		50%	0 points	✓	42.0	0.00
		50%	0 points	✓	42.0	0.00
		53%	3 points	✗	44.5	-0.07
		53%	2 points	✗	44.0	-0.08
		54%	4 points	✗	46.0	-0.12
		60%	11 points	✗	53.4	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.