St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
9.10
64
19.10
124
Western Bulldogs won by 60 points
IN
Wilson
Jones
King
Sharman
OUT
IN
Vandermeer
Harmes
Lobb
Liberatore
Ugle-Hagan
Baker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 59.9 | 0.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 59.9 | 0.02 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 53.5 | 0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 57.5 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 57.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 59.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 59.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 59.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 59.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 61.0 | 0.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 7 points | ✗ | 67.1 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 60.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 60.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 61.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 61.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 62.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 64.5 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.