Carlton v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
17.15
117
15.8
98
Carlton won by 19 points
IN
Cowan
Pittonet
Young
Saad
McGovern
Owies
OUT
IN
Aleer
Cadman
Ward
Coniglio
Taylor
Riccardi
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.09 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.44 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.28 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.3 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.