Hawthorn v Geelong
2024-04-01 15:20:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

10.10

70

17.4

106

Geelong won by 36 points

IN

Hustwaite

Meek

Morrison

Reeves

Maginness

Watson

OUT

IN

Conway

Bowes

Bruhn

Duncan

Atkins

Dangerfield

Stanley

Tuohy

Dempsey

Mannagh

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	13 points	✓	23.0	0.31
Aggregate		64%	14 points	✓	22.1	0.36
		77%	36 points	✓	0.0	0.62
		77%	28 points	✓	8.0	0.62
		77%	28 points	✓	8.0	0.62
		75%	16 points	✓	19.5	0.58
		75%	34 points	✓	2.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	14.0	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	14.5	0.56
Punters		68%	15 points	✓	20.9	0.45
		68%	18 points	✓	18.0	0.44
		66%	21 points	✓	14.5	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	19.1	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	23.7	0.37
		65%	14 points	✓	21.9	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	21.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	24.6	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	26.3	0.33
		62%	7 points	✓	28.6	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	26.8	0.30
		59%	8 points	✓	28.0	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	27.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	27.0	0.24
		56%	6 points	✓	30.5	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	31.4	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	32.0	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	32.2	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	32.8	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	32.0	0.11
		52%	2 points	✓	34.2	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.