Fremantle v Adelaide
Perth Stadium
9.15
69
4.10
34
Fremantle won by 35 points
IN
O'Meara
Hughes
OUT
IN
Borlase
Sholl
McHenry
Milera
Berry
Butts
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 29.6 | 0.14 | |
Aggregate
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 28.9 | 0.18 | |
77% | 26 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.62 | ||
67% | 11 points | ✓ | 24.3 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.38 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 23.8 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.32 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 23.4 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 25.9 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 25.9 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.27 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 13 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 26.4 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 29.2 | 0.20 | ||
Punters
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 29.1 | 0.19 | |
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 29.7 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.15 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.11 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.01 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 35.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.01 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.03 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 6 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.10 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.11 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.