Essendon v St Kilda
Docklands
10.11
71
9.13
67
Essendon won by 4 points
IN
Jones
Kelly
Redman
Parish
Wright
Perkins
Setterfield
Tsatas
OUT
IN
Hastie
Caminiti
Jones
Butler
Wood
King
Sharman
Henry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.19 |
|
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -1.12 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.52 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.