Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
Gabba
10.12
72
14.8
92
Collingwood won by 20 points
IN
Fort
Payne
Neale
Lyons
McKenna
Gardiner
OUT
IN
Macrae
Hoskin-Elliott
Noble
Crisp
Sidebottom
Markov
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.53 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.48 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.81 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.2 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 25 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -0.69 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.3 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 9 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.8 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.2 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.