LEADERBOARD

After Round 22, 2019.

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 7 7 6 7

126 12.65 27.76 66.7%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 5

125 20.04 26.89 66.1%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 6

125 19.34 27.72 66.1%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 5

125 18.19 28.34 66.1%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 5

125 17.48 26.93 66.1%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 5

125 17.27 28.13 66.1%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 3

124 18.80 26.68 65.6%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 8 4

123 16.44 27.17 65.1%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 7 7 6

122 19.25 26.39 64.6%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 8 3

122 18.96 27.25 64.6%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 9 5

121 20.93 26.98 64.0%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 8 7 7 5

121 18.83 26.49 64.0%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 4 6 7 3

121 13.61 26.81 64.0%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 4

120 19.15 26.74 63.5%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 5

119 7.74 29.96 63.0%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 7 7 5

116 7.89 27.79 61.4%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 7 8 4

113 1.76 29.87 59.8%

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

By Round

By Team

Adelaide Adelaide Adelaide Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Carlton Carlton Carlton Collingwood Collingwood Collingwood Essendon Essendon Essendon Fremantle Fremantle Fremantle Geelong Geelong Geelong Gold Coast Gold Coast Gold Coast Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawthorn Melbourne Melbourne Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Richmond Richmond Richmond St Kilda St Kilda St Kilda Sydney Sydney Sydney West Coast West Coast West Coast Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs
Massey Ratings 52% 1.5 26.9 62% 0.9 26.0 71% 3.1 22.1 62% 1.4 27.7 62% 0.5 29.3 57% -3.7 28.1 71% 1.3 28.0 90% 11.4 24.7 62% 0.3 35.6 67% -1.3 24.9 76% 3.0 22.2 67% 1.9 30.4 57% -1.8 37.2 81% 3.5 28.9 76% 2.5 21.8 71% 3.3 20.4 71% 3.4 28.7 43% -5.7 36.8
The Arc 57% 1.7 28.2 67% 2.0 27.6 76% 4.2 20.7 62% 0.8 26.6 67% 1.7 28.8 67% 0.2 26.5 71% 3.6 24.8 95% 9.9 25.4 67% 0.0 35.0 52% 0.1 23.1 67% 2.2 22.3 71% 2.8 29.5 52% -0.4 34.1 76% 4.1 28.9 62% 2.9 22.5 67% 3.0 19.6 67% 3.2 28.5 48% -2.0 31.9
Swinburne 43% 2.1 28.7 67% 0.8 27.2 76% 3.3 24.2 67% 0.9 27.2 62% 1.3 30.5 67% -1.6 27.4 67% 3.4 28.1 90% 12.0 23.2 62% -1.2 35.3 52% -0.5 24.5 67% 3.5 21.1 67% 3.3 28.8 67% -1.7 36.2 86% 5.3 27.3 71% 4.2 23.7 67% 3.4 21.0 67% 4.2 28.1 48% -3.8 36.3
Footy Maths Institute 52% 1.8 28.1 57% 0.0 28.2 76% 4.7 25.3 67% 2.0 27.4 62% 2.2 29.0 62% -0.4 28.4 76% 2.7 27.3 90% 10.4 25.4 62% 0.4 33.7 52% -0.2 25.0 71% 1.3 26.3 67% 2.3 29.1 57% 0.1 36.8 86% 3.9 28.5 71% 2.8 23.8 62% 2.2 21.6 67% 3.7 28.2 52% -3.6 38.0
Graft 57% 2.3 26.3 62% 1.2 27.5 76% 4.6 21.6 67% 2.4 25.6 52% 1.4 29.3 62% -1.6 26.3 76% 3.5 24.6 86% 10.4 24.8 67% -0.3 34.9 52% -0.9 24.3 67% 1.6 23.6 71% 2.4 30.2 57% 0.4 34.0 81% 4.0 29.0 71% 1.9 22.2 62% 2.1 18.7 71% 2.9 27.9 52% -3.4 34.0
Stattraction 62% 2.4 25.1 62% 0.3 26.9 76% 4.6 28.8 71% 3.0 26.7 62% 1.4 29.7 52% -4.1 28.7 76% 3.4 24.6 90% 11.0 28.7 52% -1.0 36.9 57% -0.8 25.8 76% 3.3 23.4 67% 2.8 28.6 57% -0.4 36.1 76% 4.1 28.1 71% 3.5 24.0 71% 3.3 19.3 67% 2.6 28.1 43% -5.0 36.8
Punters 62% 2.1 26.8 71% 2.5 24.6 71% 3.7 20.7 62% 0.5 28.6 62% 0.6 30.4 62% -2.4 28.1 71% 3.2 24.6 90% 10.4 23.7 57% 0.8 33.6 57% -0.7 23.2 67% 2.1 23.6 62% 2.1 30.0 52% -1.0 34.5 81% 4.9 26.0 67% 4.1 22.1 62% 2.7 18.9 71% 3.9 28.3 52% -2.0 32.6
Matter of Stats 57% 3.7 24.5 81% 3.0 23.8 76% 4.2 20.7 57% 0.4 28.9 57% 0.5 31.8 62% -2.9 30.1 71% 3.6 24.2 90% 11.4 20.8 48% 0.0 34.0 52% -1.2 23.8 62% 1.2 23.7 62% 1.0 32.1 52% -1.6 35.2 71% 2.9 30.2 76% 4.1 23.2 67% 3.3 20.0 76% 1.8 28.0 52% -2.5 33.9
Live Ladders 57% 0.7 27.7 57% 0.6 27.8 71% 3.9 22.1 67% 2.2 24.7 52% 1.1 28.6 62% -1.8 25.3 67% 3.6 23.7 90% 10.5 23.2 57% -0.4 35.0 43% -0.3 23.4 71% 2.6 21.5 67% 1.9 30.2 57% 1.2 31.8 81% 5.3 28.3 57% 3.0 24.0 81% 2.5 17.7 67% 2.5 29.0 57% -0.7 31.0
Squiggle 62% 1.0 27.5 71% 2.3 26.3 67% 3.6 23.2 62% 1.2 26.8 62% 0.2 29.3 62% -1.2 29.2 71% 5.3 21.8 90% 9.1 24.5 52% 0.6 32.4 48% -1.4 26.3 71% 2.0 22.1 62% 1.2 33.0 52% 0.6 35.0 76% 4.7 28.5 67% 3.8 22.9 71% 3.2 20.1 57% 2.5 29.9 57% -0.9 31.8
AFLalytics 62% 2.7 25.5 76% 4.2 22.6 71% 4.8 22.4 57% 0.6 28.8 57% -0.6 33.2 57% -1.9 28.7 67% 2.7 26.7 90% 12.4 21.4 62% 1.7 32.4 57% -0.1 23.3 57% 0.2 26.9 67% 2.1 29.8 52% 0.9 32.2 76% 4.9 28.1 62% 3.2 23.8 67% 2.9 18.5 67% 3.0 28.0 48% -2.0 33.2
AFL Lab 62% 2.2 27.5 62% 1.7 27.4 67% 2.6 18.3 67% 4.3 24.3 57% 1.3 27.4 52% -4.1 25.4 71% 2.5 21.6 86% 10.5 30.3 57% 0.6 36.7 57% -0.7 23.3 71% 5.3 19.7 57% 1.1 31.6 52% -0.2 34.0 71% 4.2 30.7 81% 3.6 22.0 67% 3.0 19.0 67% 1.9 27.3 48% -2.2 30.2
PlusSixOne 52% 0.9 27.8 52% -0.6 30.1 76% 3.2 20.2 62% 1.6 24.5 67% 1.7 26.9 62% -0.4 24.4 71% 2.8 23.8 90% 7.3 26.8 67% 1.0 34.9 48% -0.6 24.9 67% 1.3 22.4 62% 1.9 30.5 43% 0.1 35.1 71% 2.5 30.7 76% 2.9 21.1 71% 1.6 19.9 67% 2.2 26.1 48% -2.1 32.4
Aggregate 48% 2.1 26.4 67% 1.6 26.3 76% 4.1 21.1 62% 1.6 26.5 57% 1.1 29.4 57% -1.6 26.7 71% 3.5 24.1 90% 10.2 24.3 62% 0.6 34.5 52% -0.3 24.1 67% 2.2 22.5 57% 2.1 30.2 52% -0.2 34.9 76% 4.3 28.5 71% 3.4 21.8 62% 2.9 19.1 67% 2.9 27.6 48% -2.3 33.2
Fat Stats 52% 0.5 31.9 57% 0.3 28.7 76% 2.4 27.1 62% -0.4 31.0 57% 0.9 29.1 48% -2.9 31.4 67% 2.4 27.8 90% 7.7 26.6 62% 0.1 37.4 57% -1.9 27.2 67% 1.3 24.4 62% 1.4 31.8 48% -2.8 41.2 76% 4.6 28.1 76% 4.0 21.5 57% 0.7 22.4 71% 2.0 31.7 48% -4.6 40.1
AFL Gains 57% 1.9 27.8 52% -0.6 30.2 71% 4.6 18.3 62% -0.2 27.2 48% -0.4 29.8 57% -3.4 26.3 67% 2.9 25.6 81% 8.3 25.9 52% -1.0 38.1 62% 1.0 21.7 71% 1.7 22.7 62% -0.1 33.4 48% -1.3 37.0 71% 2.1 31.9 52% 0.7 23.2 71% 1.1 22.0 67% 1.7 27.4 52% -3.2 32.0
HPN 67% 1.7 28.3 67% 1.5 29.3 67% 2.5 24.2 48% -1.5 30.7 43% -2.1 32.7 62% -1.3 26.7 62% 2.8 28.1 86% 5.7 31.5 67% 2.2 31.9 38% -0.4 24.9 52% -3.2 29.0 52% -1.0 36.6 62% -2.4 37.3 67% 1.0 33.2 62% 1.6 24.2 71% 1.7 21.9 52% -2.5 33.4 52% -2.8 33.7