LEADERBOARD

After Round 27, 2019.

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 7 7 6 7 8 2 1 1 1

139 16.15 27.98 67.1%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 5 8 2 1 1 1

138 23.40 27.04 66.7%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 3 8 3 1 1 1

138 23.32 26.79 66.7%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 8 1 1 1 1

137 23.70 27.58 66.2%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 8 4 8 3 1 1 1

137 21.32 27.18 66.2%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 5 8 1 1 1 1

137 21.16 27.09 66.2%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 5 8 1 1 1 1

137 19.89 28.31 66.2%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 8 3 8 3 1 1 1

136 23.33 27.30 65.7%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 5 7 2 1 0 1

136 21.32 28.34 65.7%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 7 7 6 8 2 1 1 1

135 24.37 26.39 65.2%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 9 5 8 2 1 1 1

134 25.07 27.01 64.7%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 4 8 2 1 1 1

133 23.13 26.88 64.3%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 8 7 7 5 7 1 1 1 1

132 21.45 27.04 63.8%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 5 8 2 1 1 1

132 11.43 30.02 63.8%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 7 7 5 8 3 1 1 1

130 12.40 27.79 62.8%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 4 6 7 3 8

129 16.16 26.82 65.2%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 7 8 4 6 4 1 1 1

126 4.47 29.80 60.9%

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

By Round

By Team

Adelaide Adelaide Adelaide Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Carlton Carlton Carlton Collingwood Collingwood Collingwood Essendon Essendon Essendon Fremantle Fremantle Fremantle Geelong Geelong Geelong Gold Coast Gold Coast Gold Coast Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawthorn Melbourne Melbourne Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Richmond Richmond Richmond St Kilda St Kilda St Kilda Sydney Sydney Sydney West Coast West Coast West Coast Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs
Massey Ratings 55% 1.9 26.6 58% 0.4 26.5 73% 3.9 22.6 58% 0.8 26.1 65% 1.4 28.7 59% -3.2 28.1 72% 2.0 26.6 91% 12.2 25.2 62% 0.7 36.3 64% -1.8 26.0 77% 3.7 22.4 68% 2.6 30.2 59% -1.4 36.7 80% 3.9 31.0 77% 2.9 22.0 73% 3.8 20.7 71% 3.8 29.2 48% -5.3 36.9
The Arc 59% 2.2 27.7 62% 1.6 27.6 77% 4.9 21.4 58% 0.5 24.6 70% 2.5 27.8 68% 0.8 26.1 72% 4.8 23.5 95% 10.4 26.8 65% 0.0 36.5 50% -0.9 24.8 68% 2.8 22.0 73% 3.4 28.9 55% 0.2 33.4 76% 4.8 30.4 64% 3.4 22.5 68% 3.5 19.7 67% 3.2 29.1 52% -1.4 32.1
Punters 64% 2.6 26.3 71% 3.0 24.2 73% 4.4 21.4 58% 0.1 27.5 65% 1.9 29.9 64% -1.8 27.5 72% 4.3 23.3 91% 11.2 24.1 58% 1.1 34.8 55% -1.8 25.0 68% 2.7 23.4 64% 2.7 29.5 55% -0.4 33.7 84% 6.6 26.6 68% 4.6 22.3 64% 3.2 19.3 71% 3.5 29.2 57% -1.3 32.8
Swinburne 45% 2.6 27.9 62% 0.8 26.9 77% 4.1 24.3 62% 0.6 25.1 65% 2.2 29.1 68% -1.0 26.8 68% 4.8 25.7 91% 12.7 23.8 58% -1.0 36.1 50% -1.4 26.2 68% 4.2 21.3 68% 3.9 28.6 68% -1.1 35.2 84% 6.6 28.1 73% 4.7 23.7 68% 3.9 21.1 67% 4.3 28.6 48% -3.5 36.3
Matter of Stats 59% 3.8 24.9 79% 3.5 23.4 77% 4.9 21.1 54% -0.1 27.8 61% 2.0 31.0 64% -2.0 28.9 72% 4.9 22.9 91% 12.1 21.5 50% 0.2 35.0 50% -1.7 25.0 64% 1.7 23.3 64% 1.5 31.2 55% -0.8 33.8 76% 3.9 31.4 77% 4.5 23.6 68% 3.7 20.6 75% 2.4 27.9 57% -2.0 34.4
Graft 59% 2.9 25.6 58% 0.9 27.5 77% 5.2 22.6 62% 2.1 24.0 57% 2.4 28.3 64% -1.1 26.1 76% 4.3 24.0 86% 11.0 25.9 62% -0.0 36.1 50% -1.4 25.6 68% 2.1 23.2 73% 2.9 29.5 59% 0.9 33.5 80% 4.6 30.7 73% 2.5 22.2 64% 2.7 18.9 71% 3.3 28.1 52% -2.8 34.0
Stattraction 64% 2.6 25.2 58% -0.3 27.5 77% 5.1 29.6 67% 2.6 24.7 65% 2.1 28.8 55% -3.7 28.6 76% 3.9 24.5 91% 11.8 28.6 50% -0.6 36.8 55% -1.2 27.0 77% 3.8 23.2 68% 3.4 28.2 59% 0.0 35.7 76% 4.5 30.0 73% 4.0 24.0 73% 3.8 19.5 67% 2.8 28.8 43% -5.0 37.6
Squiggle 64% 1.5 26.8 67% 2.0 26.3 68% 4.3 23.5 62% 1.4 25.0 65% 1.1 29.2 64% -0.7 28.8 76% 6.8 20.4 91% 9.7 25.3 54% 0.8 34.2 45% -1.6 27.2 73% 2.5 21.7 64% 1.7 32.2 55% 1.1 34.3 76% 5.3 30.4 68% 4.2 23.1 73% 3.6 20.4 58% 3.0 29.9 61% -0.2 31.9
Footy Maths Institute 50% 1.8 28.5 54% 0.0 28.1 77% 5.4 25.5 62% 1.6 25.6 65% 2.8 28.0 64% 0.1 27.8 72% 3.4 26.2 91% 11.1 25.6 62% 1.1 34.3 50% -0.8 26.6 73% 1.8 26.1 68% 2.8 28.8 59% 0.5 35.8 80% 4.2 30.6 73% 3.3 23.4 64% 2.7 21.3 67% 3.9 28.9 52% -3.2 37.9
Live Ladders 59% 1.3 26.9 58% 0.6 27.2 73% 4.7 22.5 62% 1.9 23.5 57% 2.2 28.2 64% -1.2 25.2 68% 5.0 22.1 91% 11.1 24.3 54% -0.6 36.4 41% -0.4 24.1 73% 3.1 21.1 68% 2.4 29.4 59% 1.8 31.4 84% 6.8 28.8 59% 3.6 24.0 82% 3.1 18.0 67% 3.4 28.8 57% -0.1 31.3
AFLalytics 64% 2.7 25.8 71% 4.2 22.9 73% 5.6 23.0 54% 0.6 27.1 61% 0.7 32.0 59% -1.2 28.1 68% 4.2 24.8 91% 13.1 22.2 62% 2.3 33.6 55% -1.0 24.8 59% 0.5 25.9 68% 2.3 28.6 55% 1.5 31.4 76% 6.0 29.1 64% 3.6 24.1 68% 3.4 19.0 67% 3.1 28.2 52% -1.7 33.9
Aggregate 50% 2.5 26.1 62% 1.6 26.1 77% 4.8 21.8 58% 1.3 25.1 61% 2.0 28.6 59% -1.0 26.4 72% 4.6 23.1 91% 10.8 25.2 62% 0.9 35.6 50% -0.8 25.4 68% 2.7 22.2 59% 2.5 29.4 55% 0.4 34.2 76% 5.2 29.8 73% 3.8 22.1 64% 3.3 19.5 67% 3.3 28.0 52% -1.8 33.6
AFL Lab 64% 2.3 27.6 54% 1.2 27.6 68% 3.2 19.5 62% 3.9 22.8 61% 1.8 27.4 55% -3.8 25.9 72% 3.1 21.9 86% 11.2 31.3 54% 1.1 37.8 55% -0.9 24.3 73% 5.8 19.2 59% 1.7 30.6 55% 0.1 34.1 68% 4.9 32.3 82% 4.1 22.7 68% 3.5 19.7 67% 2.1 28.4 48% -2.2 31.6
Fat Stats 55% 0.9 30.9 54% 0.6 28.4 77% 3.0 27.3 58% -1.4 31.8 61% 2.4 28.8 50% -2.4 30.8 68% 3.1 26.4 91% 8.2 27.5 62% 0.3 37.7 55% -2.8 29.1 68% 1.8 24.3 64% 2.0 31.4 50% -2.3 40.2 76% 5.9 29.3 77% 4.2 22.1 59% 0.9 22.9 71% 2.3 31.3 52% -3.8 38.8
AFL Gains 59% 2.5 27.2 54% -0.7 29.6 73% 5.5 18.5 58% -0.7 25.7 52% 0.7 29.2 59% -2.8 26.0 68% 4.2 23.8 82% 9.0 26.8 54% -0.8 38.6 59% 0.4 23.0 73% 2.2 22.3 64% 0.4 32.4 50% -0.7 36.3 76% 3.3 32.5 55% 1.2 23.3 73% 1.6 22.2 67% 2.0 27.9 57% -2.6 32.3
PlusSixOne 55% 1.1 27.8 55% -0.4 29.6 77% 3.8 20.9 64% 1.9 23.5 68% 2.0 25.8 64% 0.0 24.5 73% 3.4 24.4 91% 7.8 27.9 68% 1.5 35.6 45% -1.0 26.1 68% 1.6 21.6 64% 2.2 29.3 45% 0.5 34.7 73% 2.7 30.2 77% 3.3 21.3 73% 2.0 20.2 64% 1.8 27.2 50% -2.0 32.2
HPN 68% 2.1 27.9 67% 1.9 28.1 68% 3.0 25.2 50% -2.1 28.3 48% -1.2 31.4 64% -0.6 26.0 68% 4.0 26.5 86% 5.9 33.1 65% 1.9 34.5 36% -0.7 25.8 50% -3.2 27.9 50% -1.0 35.2 64% -1.7 36.2 72% 2.2 33.4 59% 1.2 25.7 68% 1.3 23.5 54% -1.8 32.7 57% -2.2 33.9