Essendon v Collingwood

M.C.G.

100

82

Match complete
Essendon won by 18 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
67% 21 points 39.2-0.58
Collingwood
73% 31 points 49.0-0.89
Collingwood
73% 27 points 45.0-0.89
Collingwood
71% 23 points 41.0-0.77
Collingwood
68% 16 points 34.0-0.65
Collingwood
67% 17 points 35.1-0.62
Collingwood
62% -0.38
Punters
Collingwood
61% -0.36
Collingwood
58% 13 points 31.0-0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2017