Port Adelaide v Carlton
Adelaide Oval
20.17
137
6.11
47
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 90 points
IN
Johnson
Ryder
Hartlett
White
OUT
IN
Polson
Phillips
Kreuzer
Thomas
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
83% | 43 points | ✓ | 47.2 | 0.74 |
| Punters | |
89% | ✓ | 0.84 | ||
 |
|
88% | 49 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.81 |
 |
|
86% | 54 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.78 |
 |
|
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
85% | 35 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.76 |
 |
|
83% | 44 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.73 |
 |
|
80% | ✓ | 0.68 | ||
 |
|
72% | 37 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.52 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.