Fremantle v North Melbourne
Subiaco
9.13
67
9.8
62
Match complete
Fremantle won by 5 points
IN
Tucker
Balic
OUT
IN
Vickers-Willis
Wood
Higgins
Preuss
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 51% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.01 | |
Punters | 59% | ✓ | 0.24 | |||
58% | ✓ | 0.22 | ||||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.19 | ||
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.15 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.18 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.