Hawthorn v Geelong

M.C.G.

71

60

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 11 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
52% 1 point 12.2-0.06
Punters
Geelong
64% -0.48
Geelong
61% 10 points 21.1-0.36
Geelong
58% 10 points 21.0-0.25
Geelong
56% 6 points 17.0-0.19
Geelong
53% 3 points 14.0-0.10
Geelong
53% 2 points 13.0-0.08
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 10.70.03
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 10.00.03
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 10.00.04
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 9.00.08
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 7.00.10
Hawthorn
61% 10 points 1.00.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2018