Greater Western Sydney v Adelaide @ UNSW Canberra Oval

106

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 14 points

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate	65%	15 points	✓	0.5	0.38
	76%	28 points	✓	13.6	0.60
	76%	24 points	✓	10.0	0.60
	71%	20 points	✓	6.0	0.51
	70%	16 points	✓	2.0	0.48
	69%	17 points	✓	3.0	0.46
	66%	14 points	✓	0.3	0.40
Punters	64%		✓		0.35
	62%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.30
	60%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.27
	57%	5 points	✓	9.0	0.18
	56%	7 points	✓	7.0	0.16
	56%	6 points	✓	8.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.