Melbourne v Sydney

M.C.G.

78

87

Match complete
Sydney won by 9 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
72% 22 points 31.1-0.84
Melbourne
89% 42 points 51.0-2.12
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
Melbourne
77% 29 points 37.5-1.10
Melbourne
73% 22 points 31.0-0.89
Punters
Melbourne
72% -0.81
Melbourne
71% 17 points 26.0-0.79
Melbourne
70% 18 points 27.0-0.72
Melbourne
63% 17 points 26.0-0.43
Melbourne
59% 9 points 18.0-0.28
Melbourne
58% 9 points 18.0-0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2018