Melbourne v Sydney

M.C.G.
10.18
78
13.9
87

Match complete
Sydney won by 9 points

IN
Pedersen
Hunt
Vince
Smith
OUT
IN
Hannebery
Robinson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
72% 22 points 31.1-0.84
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
89% 42 points 51.0-2.12
Swinburne
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
HPN
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
Live Ladders
Melbourne
78% 27 points 36.0-1.18
Squiggle
Melbourne
77% 29 points 37.5-1.10
Graft
Melbourne
73% 22 points 31.0-0.89
Punters
Melbourne
72% -0.81
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
71% 17 points 26.0-0.79
The Arc
Melbourne
70% 18 points 27.0-0.72
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
63% 17 points 26.0-0.43
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
59% 9 points 18.0-0.28
Stattraction
Melbourne
58% 9 points 18.0-0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2018