Hawthorn v Essendon
2021-06-20 15:20:00
York Park

10.13

73

13.8

86

Essendon won by 13 points

IN

Bramble

Cousins

Worpel

Morrison

OUT

IN

Cahill

Zerk-Thatcher

Draper

Wright

Smith

McGrath

Francis

Zaharakis

Phillips

Waterman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		59%	9 points	✓	4.4	0.25
		68%	15 points	✓	2.0	0.45
		66%	13 points	✓	0.2	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.40
		65%	16 points	✓	3.1	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	1.1	0.36
		64%	15 points	✓	2.0	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	1.8	0.32
		60%	8 points	✓	5.1	0.26
s10		59%	9 points	✓	4.2	0.25
Punters		59%	9 points	✓	4.3	0.25
		56%	6 points	✓	7.2	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	8.4	0.15
		55%	6 points	✓	7.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	9.5	0.12
		51%	1 point	✓	12.0	0.03
		61%	11 points	✗	24.0	-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.