Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions

University of Tasmania Stadium

65

98

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 33 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
76% 26 points 59.2-1.03
Hawthorn
88% 35 points 68.0-2.03
Hawthorn
82% 33 points 66.0-1.47
Hawthorn
81% 31 points 64.0-1.41
Punters
Hawthorn
79% -1.24
Hawthorn
78% 38 points 71.0-1.18
Hawthorn
77% 30 points 62.6-1.12
Hawthorn
77% 27 points 60.0-1.12
Hawthorn
73% 23 points 56.0-0.91
Hawthorn
71% 20 points 53.0-0.80
Hawthorn
70% 22 points 55.0-0.74
Hawthorn
70% 17 points 50.0-0.71
Hawthorn
61% 13 points 46.0-0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2018