Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2018-07-14 16:35:00
M.C.G.

18.11

119

10.9

69

Match complete
Melbourne won by 50 points

IN

Kennedy Harris

Vince

Hannan

Viney

Stretch

Smith

OUT

IN

Honeychurch

Roughead

Macrae

Bontempelli

Boyd

Crozier

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		79%	29 points	✓	20.5	0.65
		93%	43 points	✓	7.0	0.89
		86%	39 points	✓	11.0	0.78
Punters		85%		✓		0.77
		82%	31 points	✓	19.0	0.72
		81%	31 points	✓	19.0	0.70
		80%	29 points	✓	20.6	0.68
		80%	34 points	✓	16.3	0.67
		76%	26 points	✓	24.0	0.60
		76%	25 points	✓	25.0	0.60
		72%	29 points	✓	21.0	0.53
		71%	23 points	✓	27.0	0.51
		62%	14 points	✓	36.0	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.