Greater Western Sydney v Richmond
Sydney Showground
11.13
79
10.17
77
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Kennedy
Hopper
Greene
de Boer
Finlayson
Perryman
OUT
IN
Bolton
Houli
Vlastuin
Butler
Graham
Broad
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 58% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.3 | -0.26 | |
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.69 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.65 | ||
Punters | 62% | ✗ | -0.40 | |||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.36 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.29 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.20 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.18 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.18 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.14 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.13 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.