Geelong v Richmond
M.C.G.
9.11
65
12.11
83
Match complete
Richmond won by 18 points
IN
Gregson
Guthrie
McCarthy
Black
Buzza
Jones
OUT
IN
Garthwaite
Graham
Rioli
Martin
Astbury
Miles
Menadue
Moore
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 61% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.28 | |
76% | 26 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.60 | ||
76% | 29 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.59 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.33 | ||
Punters | 61% | ✓ | 0.28 | |||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.23 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.17 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.02 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.00 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.