Hawthorn v Adelaide
M.C.G.
12.16
88
4.8
32
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 56 points
IN
Langford
Brand
Frawley
O'Brien
OUT
IN
Wilson
Gallucci
Cheney
Otten
Brown
Ellis-Yolmen
Fogarty
Murphy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 48.1 | 0.24 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.58 |
| Punters | |
67% | ✓ | 0.42 | ||
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 46.3 | 0.30 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.27 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 47.5 | 0.23 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.13 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.13 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.