Hawthorn v Adelaide

M.C.G.

88

32

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 56 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 48.10.24
Hawthorn
75% 23 points 33.00.58
Punters
Hawthorn
67% 0.42
Hawthorn
62% 10 points 46.30.30
Hawthorn
61% 8 points 48.00.28
Hawthorn
60% 10 points 46.00.27
Hawthorn
59% 9 points 47.50.23
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 48.00.24
Hawthorn
55% 7 points 49.00.13
Hawthorn
55% 5 points 51.00.13
Hawthorn
55% 4 points 52.00.13
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 53.00.08
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 55.00.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2018