Gold Coast v St Kilda

Carrara

78

80

Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
St Kilda
58% 8 points 5.90.22
St Kilda
74% 24 points 21.80.57
St Kilda
72% 21 points 19.00.53
St Kilda
65% 13 points 11.00.37
Punters
St Kilda
61% 0.29
St Kilda
60% 10 points 8.20.27
St Kilda
59% 10 points 8.00.23
St Kilda
57% 6 points 4.00.18
St Kilda
56% 7 points 5.00.16
St Kilda
52% 2 points 0.00.06
St Kilda
50% 0 points 2.00.00
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 3.0-0.03
Gold Coast
56% 5 points 7.0-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2018