Gold Coast v St Kilda

Carrara
11.12
78
11.14
80

Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points

IN
Schoenfeld
Lemmens
Lyons
Scheer
Brodie
Heron
OUT
IN
Armitage
Longer
Carlisle
Billings
Hickey
Lonie
Coffield
Phillips
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
St Kilda
58% 8 points 5.90.22
Matter of Stats
St Kilda
74% 24 points 21.80.57
Live Ladders
St Kilda
72% 21 points 19.00.53
HPN
St Kilda
65% 13 points 11.00.37
Punters
St Kilda
61% 0.29
Squiggle
St Kilda
60% 10 points 8.20.27
Stattraction
St Kilda
59% 10 points 8.00.23
Graft
St Kilda
57% 6 points 4.00.18
Footy Maths Institute
St Kilda
56% 7 points 5.00.16
PlusSixOne
St Kilda
52% 2 points 0.00.06
Massey Ratings
St Kilda
50% 0 points 2.00.00
Swinburne
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 3.0-0.03
The Arc
Gold Coast
56% 5 points 7.0-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2018