Melbourne v Collingwood
M.C.G.
14.7
91
20.13
133
Match complete
Collingwood won by 42 points
Melbourne
62%
IN
Smith
Pedersen
Lever
Smith
OUT
IN
Howe
Appleby
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin |
✓ | MAE | Bits |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 53.2 | -0.38 |
 |
|
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -1.09 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.63 |
 |
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.61 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.51 |
 |
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.45 |
 |
|
62% | 17 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.40 |
| Punters | |
62% | ✗ | -0.38 | ||
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.