Brisbane Lions v Essendon
Gabba
8.14
62
12.12
84
Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points
IN
Berry
Mayes
Cameron
Robinson
OUT
IN
Redman
Brown
Myers
Green
Zaharakis
Stewart
Laverde
Ridley
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.8 | 0.04 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.19 |
| Punters | |
56% | ✓ | 0.16 | ||
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.