Brisbane Lions v Essendon

Gabba
8.14
62
12.12
84

Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points

IN
Berry
Mayes
Cameron
Robinson
OUT
IN
Redman
Brown
Myers
Green
Zaharakis
Stewart
Laverde
Ridley
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
52% 1 point 20.80.04
HPN
Essendon
63% 12 points 10.00.33
Swinburne
Essendon
57% 7 points 15.00.19
Punters
Essendon
56% 0.16
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
53% 4 points 18.00.08
Graft
Essendon
52% 3 points 19.00.07
Massey Ratings
Essendon
51% 1 point 21.00.02
Live Ladders
Essendon
51% 0 points 22.00.02
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
PlusSixOne
Brisbane Lions
51% 2 points 24.0-0.04
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
52% 1 point 23.0-0.04
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
55% 6 points 28.0-0.16
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
56% 4 points 26.2-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018