Fremantle v Adelaide

Optus Stadium
10.11
71
9.14
68

Match complete
Fremantle won by 3 points

IN
Nyhuis
Ballantyne
Matera
Fyfe
McCarthy
Duman
OUT
IN
Poholke
Walker
Laird
Lynch
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
61% 10 points 12.5-0.35
HPN
Adelaide
76% 25 points 28.0-1.03
Punters
Adelaide
75% -1.00
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
68% 15 points 18.0-0.62
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
67% 22 points 25.0-0.60
Live Ladders
Adelaide
66% 14 points 17.0-0.55
Graft
Adelaide
60% 10 points 13.0-0.33
The Arc
Adelaide
59% 8 points 11.0-0.28
Swinburne
Adelaide
57% 7 points 10.0-0.22
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
57% 8 points 11.0-0.20
Squiggle
Adelaide
54% 3 points 6.0-0.12
Stattraction
Fremantle
53% 3 points 0.00.08
Matter of Stats
Fremantle
56% 5 points 1.50.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018