Fremantle v Adelaide
Optus Stadium
10.11
71
9.14
68
Match complete
Fremantle won by 3 points
IN
Nyhuis
Ballantyne
Matera
Fyfe
McCarthy
Duman
OUT
IN
Poholke
Walker
Laird
Lynch
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.35 |
 |
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.03 |
| Punters | |
75% | ✗ | -1.00 | ||
 |
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.62 |
 |
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.60 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.55 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.33 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.28 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.20 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.