Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn

Gabba

129

73

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 56 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
67% 18 points 73.8-0.62
Hawthorn
81% 29 points 85.0-1.40
Hawthorn
79% 29 points 85.0-1.28
Hawthorn
74% 23 points 79.0-0.94
Punters
Hawthorn
69% -0.68
Hawthorn
68% 23 points 79.0-0.64
Hawthorn
67% 16 points 72.0-0.58
Hawthorn
64% 14 points 70.0-0.48
Hawthorn
63% 14 points 70.0-0.43
Hawthorn
63% 12 points 68.0-0.44
Hawthorn
61% 14 points 70.0-0.35
Hawthorn
61% 10 points 66.2-0.34
Hawthorn
60% 12 points 68.0-0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 9, 2018