Carlton v Melbourne
M.C.G.
7.8
50
25.9
159
Match complete
Melbourne won by 109 points
IN
Kerr
Murphy
Curnow
Curnow
OUT
IN
Smith
Viney
Tyson
Weideman
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 75% | 26 points | ✓ | 83.3 | 0.59 | |
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.76 | |||
85% | 37 points | ✓ | 72.0 | 0.76 | ||
82% | 34 points | ✓ | 75.5 | 0.72 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.68 | ||
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 83.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 27 points | ✓ | 82.0 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 33 points | ✓ | 76.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✓ | 85.0 | 0.59 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 89.0 | 0.52 | ||
70% | 26 points | ✓ | 83.0 | 0.49 | ||
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 85.0 | 0.44 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 107.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.