Essendon v Geelong

M.C.G.

84

50

Match complete
Essendon won by 34 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
71% 21 points 55.0-0.79
Punters
Geelong
80% -1.35
Geelong
78% 28 points 62.0-1.18
Geelong
76% 23 points 57.0-1.08
Geelong
74% 23 points 57.0-0.94
Geelong
73% 22 points 56.0-0.87
Geelong
72% 21 points 55.5-0.82
Geelong
71% 28 points 62.0-0.79
Geelong
71% 24 points 58.0-0.79
Geelong
68% 24 points 58.0-0.64
Geelong
67% 15 points 49.0-0.58
Geelong
65% 13 points 47.0-0.51
Geelong
59% 10 points 44.0-0.30

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 9, 2018