Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
Optus Stadium
16.12
108
8.6
54
Match complete
Fremantle won by 54 points
IN
Duman
Langdon
Johnson
Sheridan
OUT
IN
Lipinski
Webb
Boyd
Cordy
Hunter
Biggs
Williams
Redpath
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 53% | 2 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.08 | |
Punters | 62% | ✓ | 0.31 | |||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.24 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 53.1 | 0.06 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.00 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.09 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.