Collingwood v Essendon

M.C.G.
14.17
101
7.10
52

Match complete
Collingwood won by 49 points

IN
Merrett
Fantasia
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
56% 6 points 42.70.17
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
71% 18 points 31.00.51
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
64% 13 points 36.50.36
Squiggle
Collingwood
61% 13 points 36.00.29
The Arc
Collingwood
59% 7 points 42.00.23
Live Ladders
Collingwood
59% 7 points 42.00.23
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
58% 12 points 37.00.22
Punters
Collingwood
55% 0.13
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
54% 5 points 44.00.11
HPN
Collingwood
52% 2 points 47.00.06
Graft
Collingwood
50% 0 points 49.00.00
Swinburne
Essendon
51% 1 point 50.0-0.03
Stattraction
Essendon
55% 6 points 55.0-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2018