Melbourne v Richmond
M.C.G.
8.8
56
15.12
102
Match complete
Richmond won by 46 points
IN
Weideman
Stretch
Tyson
Hunt
Lewis
Frost
Bugg
Fritsch
OUT
IN
Higgins
Broad
Lloyd
Caddy
Vlastuin
Graham
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 17 points | ✓ | 29.3 | 0.38 | |
76% | 33 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 27 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.58 | ||
73% | 23 points | ✓ | 23.1 | 0.55 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.44 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.39 | ||
Punters | 63% | ✓ | 0.34 | |||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.24 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.10 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.