Brisbane Lions v Adelaide @ Gabba

21.18

144

13.13

SEMI-FINAL

Brisbane Lions won by 53 points

Gallop

Answerth

OUT

Taylor

Cumming

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	73%	20 points	✓	33.0	0.55
Aggregate	69%	18 points	✓	35.3	0.47
	79%	23 points	✓	29.7	0.67
	78%	28 points	✓	25.5	0.65
	77%	25 points	✓	27.9	0.63
	77%	23 points	✓	29.6	0.62
	76%	19 points	✓	33.8	0.61
	76%	26 points	✓	26.9	0.60
	76%	27 points	✓	26.3	0.60
Punters	75%	21 points	✓	31.9	0.58
	74%	22 points	✓	31.0	0.56
	73%	17 points	✓	35.6	0.54
	72%	18 points	✓	35.0	0.52
	71%	18 points	✓	35.1	0.50
	70%	20 points	✓	33.4	0.49
	70%	17 points	✓	36.3	0.49
	68%	15 points	✓	38.3	0.45
	67%	27 points	✓	26.2	0.42
	67%	15 points	✓	37.6	0.41
	66%	15 points	✓	38.0	0.40
	66%	18 points	✓	34.6	0.40
	66%	13 points	✓	40.5	0.39
	65%	14 points	✓	39.0	0.38
	64%	1 point	✓	52.0	0.35
	63%	18 points	✓	35.0	0.34
	62%	13 points	✓	40.0	0.32
	59%	8 points	✓	45.0	0.25
	59%	11 points	✓	42.0	0.24
	56%	7 points	✓	46.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.