Fremantle v Geelong
Perth Stadium
18.12
120
16.10
106
SEMI-FINAL
Fremantle won by 14 points
IN
Wagner
McVee
Walker
O'Driscoll
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.22 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.24 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.47 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.46 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.45 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.40 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.39 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.38 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.38 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.37 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 16 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.22 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.7 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.