Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
M.C.G.
14.12
96
14.9
93
WILDCARD FINAL
Western Bulldogs won by 3 points
IN
English
Carmichael
OUT
IN
Quaynor
Lipinski
Pendlebury
Puncher
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.7 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
69% | 14 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.69 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.6 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 24 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.6 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.6 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 3.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.12 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.20 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.