Melbourne v Carlton
M.C.G.
7.13
55
10.14
74
WILDCARD FINAL
Carlton won by 19 points
IN
Taylor
Viney
Melksham
Lever
Salem
Jefferson
OUT
IN
Haynes
Derksen
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.30 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.17 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -0.61 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.11 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 22 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.