St Kilda v Collingwood
2026-03-08 19:20:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

9.12

66

11.12

78

Collingwood won by 12 points

IN

Carroll

Silvagni

Owens

Ryan

Flanders

De Koning

Steele

Jones

Stocker

Keeler

Collard

Travaglia

OUT

IN

Buller

Parker

Allan

McStay

Moore

Howe

Mihocek

Cox

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	12 points	✓	0.5	0.36
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	1.4	0.36
		90%	39 points	✓	27.0	0.85
		78%	21 points	✓	8.7	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	13.0	0.60
		75%	27 points	✓	15.1	0.58
		74%	31 points	✓	19.0	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	10.1	0.54
		72%	17 points	✓	5.0	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	8.8	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	7.0	0.51
		68%	16 points	✓	3.8	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	2.9	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	1.7	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	1.1	0.40
		63%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	2.1	0.32
		62%	19 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		62%	9 points	✓	2.9	0.32
		61%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.28
		61%	6 points	✓	6.2	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	4.4	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	3.5	0.23
		59%	9 points	✓	3.5	0.23
		56%	9 points	✓	3.4	0.17
		53%	2 points	✓	10.0	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	9.4	0.09
		53%	1 point	✓	11.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✗	14.2	-0.09
Punters		54%	2 points	✗	14.3	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.