Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
Gabba
15.16
106
16.15
111
Western Bulldogs won by 5 points
IN
Zakostelsky
Coleman
Allen
Berry
McInerney
Ah Chee
Starcevich
Marshall
OUT
IN
Sellwood
Jaques
Hynes
Budarick
Khamis
McNeil
Johannisen
Garcia
Cleary
Busslinger
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.54 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.2 | -0.45 |
|
|
78% | 22 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -1.19 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -1.03 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.90 |
|
Punters
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.88 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.80 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 22 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.8 | -0.35 |
|
|
59% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.9 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.13 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.13 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.