Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
11.5
71
15.10
100
PRELIMINARY FINAL
Brisbane Lions won by 29 points
IN
Howe
Parker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.14 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 33.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 42.8 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.31 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 35.3 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 35.7 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 27.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 27.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.