Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G.

17.13

115

13.7

PRELIMINARY FINAL

Geelong won by 30 points

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	61%	10 points	✓	19.9	0.30
Aggregate	58%	7 points	✓	23.1	0.20
	71%	19 points	✓	10.5	0.51
	71%	19 points	✓	10.8	0.51
	71%	23 points	✓	7.0	0.51
	64%	11 points	✓	19.5	0.34
	63%	11 points	✓	18.6	0.34
Punters	63%	10 points	✓	20.1	0.34
	62%	12 points	✓	17.6	0.31
	59%	8 points	✓	22.0	0.24
	59%	5 points	✓	25.0	0.23
	58%	7 points	✓	22.8	0.22
	57%	5 points	✓	24.6	0.20
	56%	6 points	✓	24.2	0.17
	56%	5 points	✓	24.8	0.17
	56%	9 points	✓	21.0	0.16
	56%	6 points	✓	24.2	0.16
	55%	5 points	✓	24.8	0.14
	55%	2 points	✓	28.0	0.14
	54%	5 points	✓	25.0	0.11
	53%	2 points	✓	27.7	0.08
	52%	1 point	✓	29.3	0.07
	52%	2 points	✓	28.0	0.06
	50%	1 point	✓	29.0	0.01
	57%	7 points	✗	36.9	-0.21
	58%	4 points	✗	34.4	-0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.