Hawthorn v Collingwood

M.C.G.

101

67

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 34 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 32.10.07
Hawthorn
64% 11 points 23.00.35
Hawthorn
60% 9 points 25.00.25
Hawthorn
55% 8 points 26.00.13
Punters
Hawthorn
54% 0.12
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 30.00.08
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 33.00.02
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 33.00.03
Collingwood
50% 1 point 35.0-0.01
Collingwood
50% 4 points 38.00.00
Collingwood
51% 1 point 35.1-0.01
Collingwood
51% 1 point 35.0-0.03
Collingwood
56% 6 points 40.0-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2018