St Kilda v Brisbane Lions @ Docklands

107

Match complete
St Kilda won by 25 points

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate	76%	31 points	✓	6.4	0.61
	86%	39 points	✓	14.4	0.78
	85%	33 points	✓	8.0	0.76
	83%	35 points	✓	10.0	0.74
	82%	32 points	✓	7.0	0.71
	80%	43 points	✓	18.0	0.68
	80%	36 points	✓	11.0	0.68
	80%	32 points	✓	7.0	0.68
	75%	38 points	✓	13.0	0.58
Punters	72%		✓		0.52
	65%	25 points	✓	0.0	0.39
	65%	19 points	✓	6.0	0.39
	65%	13 points	✓	12.0	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.