Melbourne v Geelong
M.C.G.
13.16
94
14.13
97
Match complete
Geelong won by 3 points
IN
Fritsch
Maynard
Wagner
Lever
McDonald
Watts
Tyson
Brayshaw
OUT
IN
Kelly
Ratugolea
Fogarty
Guthrie
Gregson
Parsons
Murdoch
Guthrie
Ablett
Dangerfield
Motlop
Henderson
Stanley
Lonergan
Mackie
Lang
Selwood
Cockatoo
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.07 |
 |
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.41 |
 |
|
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
| Punters | |
56% | ✗ | -0.20 | ||
 |
|
83% | 34 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -1.55 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.