Melbourne v Geelong

M.C.G.

94

97

Match complete
Geelong won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
52% 4 points 0.50.07
Geelong
67% 16 points 12.90.41
Geelong
62% 16 points 13.00.31
Geelong
60% 10 points 7.00.26
Geelong
58% 7 points 4.00.22
Geelong
57% 7 points 4.00.19
Geelong
57% 6 points 3.00.18
Geelong
55% 9 points 6.00.14
Geelong
53% 3 points 0.00.08
Geelong
51% 1 point 2.00.02
Melbourne
52% 2 points 5.0-0.06
Punters
Melbourne
56% -0.20
Melbourne
83% 34 points 37.0-1.55

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2018