Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
2025-09-13 19:35:00 +10:00
Gabba

14.16

100

6.11

47

SEMI-FINAL

Brisbane Lions won by 53 points

IN

Reville

McInerney

Neale

Day

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	8 points	✓	45.1	0.24
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	47.6	0.17
		80%	28 points	✓	25.0	0.68
		73%	21 points	✓	32.2	0.54
		63%	10 points	✓	43.5	0.32
Punters		62%	9 points	✓	44.2	0.32
		60%	10 points	✓	43.0	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	46.3	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	46.0	0.23
		57%	7 points	✓	46.1	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	46.4	0.18
		57%	6 points	✓	47.0	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	48.3	0.17
		56%	9 points	✓	44.0	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	47.0	0.16
		54%	4 points	✓	49.5	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	49.8	0.10
		54%	5 points	✓	48.0	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	50.2	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	50.7	0.07
		52%	1 point	✓	51.7	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	51.0	0.06
		50%	1 point	✓	52.0	0.01
		53%	2 points	✗	55.4	-0.09
		72%	24 points	✗	77.0	-0.84

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.