Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
10.7
67
14.17
101
SEMI-FINAL
Hawthorn won by 34 points
IN
Rachele
Bond
OUT
IN
Lewis
Dear
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 38.4 | -0.14 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.2 | -0.46 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.7 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 40.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 36.3 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.