Port Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
11.9
75
11.6
72
SEMI-FINAL
Port Adelaide won by 3 points
IN
Lorenz
Sinn
Marshall
Burton
Dixon
McEntee
OUT
IN
Serong
Frost
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.25 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.26 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -1.06 |
|
|
72% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.84 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.7 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.37 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.1 | -0.26 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.2 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.