Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground
15.10
100
15.15
105
SEMI-FINAL
Brisbane Lions won by 5 points
IN
Bedford
McMullin
OUT
IN
Answerth
Wilmot
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.7 | -0.00 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.61 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.46 |
|
|
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.43 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.43 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.37 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.13 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.9 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.