Brisbane Lions v Richmond
Gabba
8.17
65
18.4
112
QUALIFYING FINAL
Match complete
Richmond won by 47 points
IN
Christensen
Cox
OUT
IN
Nankervis
Balta
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.07 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 55.3 | -0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.1 | -0.27 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.22 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 47.9 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 46.3 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 45.9 | 0.04 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 43.9 | 0.07 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.13 |
| Punters | |
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 40.9 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.