Greater Western Sydney v Western Bulldogs
Sydney Showground
16.17
113
8.7
55
ELIMINATION FINAL
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 58 points
IN
Deledio
Greene
Hopper
Haynes
Tomlinson
Keeffe
Cumming
Hill
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 4 points | ✓ | 53.8 | 0.12 | |
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.38 | ||
63% | 16 points | ✓ | 42.2 | 0.34 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 51.6 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 50.8 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 51.8 | 0.19 | ||
Punters | 55% | 5 points | ✓ | 53.4 | 0.14 | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 53.6 | 0.14 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.07 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 56.2 | 0.07 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.02 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.02 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.16 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.